Editors Note: Our today's guest writer is Ian Asuga, a lawyer who has very wise words for Deputy President William Ruto. Asuga believes that Ruto should be very wary post 2017 elections; in fact, he should start a revolt within Jubilee if he is to survive politically after the exit of Uhuru Kenyatta.
In ‘The 48 Laws of Power’ by Robert Greene, he warns in Law 41 against clueless itching to step into the big man’s shoes or expecting power on a silver platter.
Political leaders, by their very nature, hate being outshined by their successors. Ever wondered why, although never verbalised, former presidents always have beef with their immediate successors?
That’s why smart politicians always cut down to size their kingmaker(s) and put them in their place once they get into power. Nothing personal, just business.
So William Ruto, brace yourself for one hell of a kick in the nuts just after 2017. Look, to establish a name, your own identity and finally win power, Greene and some of the gurus and wizards of modern political science like Niccolò Machiavelli-who acknowledge that politics is a ***** game where ends justifies the means-advise that you start by being a rebel within, change course, destroy your political father by disparaging his legacy!
So why are you taking your sweet time William Ruto?. Don’t wait until it’s too little too late to start running all over like a headless chicken.
To become second most powerful man in the country, you used these Machiavellian tactics on your then party leader Raila Odinga.
Thus, I find it strange that this time round, you expect President Uhuru Kenyatta to endorse you and inherit his Central Kenya voting block after his term.
How naive! Again, I don’t know of any former Kenyan president who has ever remained influential after leaving office. So expecting son of Jomo to order the sly Jubilee brigade to vote for you is naive.
Look, around here, the drill is, immediately after elections, we cut the kingmaker to size and, if possible, finish him politically.
So immediately after 2017 General Election, you (Ruto) will have outlived his usefulness in Jubilee.
Painful but true. It is at this point that the Jubilee brigade will drop you like a hot potato, link you to every available scandal and start destroying you.
And, boy oh boy, it will be vicious! Those Mt Kenya mafia, who operate with ruthless efficiency of a German machine, will work on you proper.
William Samoei Ruto listen again. Around here, history always repeats itself. Those who are older say, for instance, Jomo Kenyatta could not have been President, were it not for Jaramogi Oginga Odinga.
Summoned by the Britsh to cobble together a government with himself at the helm as Prime Minister, Jaramogi told them to go to hell. “No Jomo, no Uhuru,” Jaramogi protested.
Jomo, by the way, had spent years cooling his heels in detention and, in his absence, it is Jaramogi and others who kept the fire burning.
Jaramogi, therefore, had national recognition, respect and political clout. Thus, he could have easily strolled into Government House and started grabbing plots. Instead, he fought for Jomo.
But when Jomo ascended to power and thundered three “Haraaaambees”, the first person he kicked in the nuts was his kingmaker, Jaramogi It is a painful lesson that Tom Mboya, who was as sharp as a squirrel, never learnt.
A couple of years later, when Jomo was beleaguered by a tummy upset that Jaramogi had instigated within KANU, it is Mboya who came to his rescue and scattered the madimoni (dark forces) of that time.
That enhanced his stature tremendously. It is probably just a coincidence, but a year or so later, he stopped a bullet, died and forgotten.
Enter Daniel Toroitich Arap Moi, him of the long neck that sees far like a giraffe. He could not have ascended to power without the support of the then very powerful Attorney General Charles Njonjo, GG Kariuki, and Finance Minister Mwai Kibaki.
Of course once the Professor of Politics was firmly in the saddle, he flung those three musketeers out of his limousine -chap chap.
When we thought lessons were learned, we have a Raila Odinga and team working tirelessly for a bed ridden Kibaki- but as soon as power sweetens and his arms can move, he bursts Raila and team out, this time not even through the window- but the ventilation hole. (What occurred here is a repeat of the scenario between Jomo and Jaramogi.
Ian Asuga is the owner and Director at Dynepic Company Limited and also works at Khamati Minishi and Co Advocates. He has a Bachelor of Laws (LLB) degree from Moi University and also studied Political Science/Public Administration University of Notre Dame.
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